Climatehurricane central
Summary (tl;dr)
"Hurricane central" is trending as the 2026 hurricane season presents a stark contrast: the Atlantic is experiencing a historically quiet period with no hurricanes recorded, while the Pacific has been exceptionally active with powerful and damaging storms like Hurricane Polo and Hurricane Nolo.
Essential Background
The Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, with September typically marking its climatological peak. Similarly, the Pacific hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific begins on May 15 and for the Central Pacific on June 1, both concluding on November 30. This year, a strong El Niño event, characterized by warmer-than-average waters in the Pacific and corresponding shifts in atmospheric patterns, has been a dominant climatic factor.
The Full Story
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has been remarkably subdued, setting a modern record by reaching late September without a single hurricane forming, a situation unseen in over a century. This unusual inactivity is largely attributed to a strong El Niño, which has increased vertical wind shear and introduced drier air across the Atlantic basin, suppressing tropical storm development. While several tropical storms, including Arthur, Bertha, Edouard, Fay, and Gonzalo, have formed, none have intensified to hurricane strength.
In stark contrast, the Pacific Ocean is experiencing an exceptionally active and intense hurricane season. Hurricane Polo rapidly intensified off Mexico's Pacific coast, reaching Category 5 strength and becoming the second-most intense Pacific hurricane on record by central pressure. This explosive growth was fueled by unusually warm Pacific waters. Additionally, Hurricane Nolo is currently posing a significant threat to Hawaii, bringing tropical storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, and potential flooding to the Big Island. Hurricane Lowell also reached Category 5 intensity twice in September, affecting Kauaʻi County, Hawaii.
Why It Matters
The divergent hurricane activity across the Atlantic and Pacific basins underscores the profound and often contrasting impacts of global climate phenomena like El Niño. While communities along the Atlantic coast may be experiencing a reprieve from direct hurricane threats, the unusually quiet season could also lead to reduced seasonal rainfall, contributing to drought conditions in some Caribbean islands. Conversely, the intense Pacific hurricane season poses severe risks of extreme flooding, damaging winds, and coastal destruction for regions like Mexico and Hawaii. The ongoing threats from powerful Pacific storms emphasize the critical importance of robust preparedness and continuous climate monitoring, particularly as global weather patterns continue to influence the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones worldwide.
Geographic Location
- Baja California, Mexico (Hurricane Polo approaching and crossing)
- Northern Mexico (Hurricane Polo weakening over)
- Arizona, United States (heavy rain and flooding from Hurricane Polo's remnants)
- New Mexico, United States (heavy rain and flooding from Hurricane Polo's remnants)
- Great Plains, United States (heavy rain and flooding from Hurricane Polo's remnants)
- Texas, United States (heavy rain and flooding from Hurricane Polo's remnants)
- Big Island, Hawaii, United States (Hurricane Nolo threatening with tropical storm force winds, heavy rainfall, and potential flooding)
- Kauaʻi County, Hawaii, United States (impacted by Hurricane Lowell)
- Johnson Bayou, Louisiana, United States (Tropical Storm Edouard made landfall)
- St. Bernard Parish, Louisiana, United States (Tropical Storm Bertha made landfall)
- Louisiana, United States (Tropical Storm Arthur brought record rainfall and tornadoes)
- Cabo Verde Islands, Africa (Tropical Storm Gonzalo expected to bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall)
- Central America (Tropical Storm Cristina brought torrential rain)
- Southern Mexico (Tropical Storm Boris caused damage)