Climatehawaiian islands
Summary (tl;dr)
Hurricane Lala has strengthened and is on a rare path to make landfall on Hawaii's Big Island, bringing the threat of heavy rain, damaging winds, and life-threatening flooding and mudslides across the Hawaiian Islands.
Essential Background
The 2026 Central Pacific hurricane season, which officially began on June 1 and runs until November 30, was predicted to be an above-normal season, with forecasts of 5 to 13 tropical cyclones due to ongoing El Niño conditions. This forecast had prompted officials to urge residents to prepare for an active season.
The Full Story
As of Saturday, August 15, 2026, Hurricane Lala has intensified into a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 75 mph (120 kph), and its eyewall is forecast to move over or near the southern end of Hawaii's Big Island by Saturday evening. This marks a historically significant event, as the Big Island has not experienced a direct hurricane landfall in 155 years. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Hawaii County, which encompasses the Big Island.
Beyond the Big Island, Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for Maui County (including Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe), Oahu, and Kauai County (including Kauai and Niihau), indicating that hazardous conditions are expected across a wide area of the archipelago. Forecasters anticipate significant rainfall, with the Big Island and Maui potentially receiving 8 to 12 inches, and higher elevations on the Big Island, particularly around Mauna Kea, facing up to 25 inches of rain. This immense precipitation carries a high risk of life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous regions. Additionally, a dangerous storm surge and powerful ocean swells are expected to generate life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, with the potential for coastal erosion and beach damage.
In preparation for the storm's impacts, shelters have been opened, various events canceled, and residents are being urged to finalize their storm preparations and seek safe refuge. Travel disruptions are already occurring, with several flights to and from Kona (KOA), Hilo (ITO), and Kahului (OGG) airports canceled for Saturday, August 15. The security checkpoint at Kona International Airport (KOA) is scheduled to close on Saturday afternoon.
Why It Matters
The direct threat of Hurricane Lala to Hawaii, especially the Big Island, is a cause for serious concern due to the potential for widespread devastation. The forecast of life-threatening flooding, mudslides, and dangerous coastal conditions underscores the islands' vulnerability to such powerful storms. The active hurricane season, exacerbated by El Niño conditions, increases the likelihood of severe weather events like Lala. Historical events, such as Hurricane Iniki in 1992, serve as a potent reminder of the catastrophic damage and loss of life that can result from direct hurricane strikes. Consequently, authorities and residents are emphasizing vigilance and preparedness to mitigate potential destruction and ensure the safety of communities across the Hawaiian Islands.
Geographic Location
- Big Island, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (expected hurricane landfall, heavy rain, flooding, mudslides)
- South Point, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (location of Hurricane Lala's center)
- Mauna Kea, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (potential for up to 25 inches of rain)
- Hilo, Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (airport cancellations, ocean waters raising)
- Kona International Airport (KOA), Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (flight cancellations, security checkpoint closure)
- Hilo International Airport (ITO), Hawaii County, Hawaii, United States (flight cancellations)
- Maui, Maui County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning, heavy rain, flooding)
- Kahului Airport (OGG), Maui County, Hawaii, United States (flight cancellations)
- Molokai, Maui County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning)
- Lanai, Maui County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning)
- Kahoolawe, Maui County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning)
- Oahu, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning, heavy rain, flooding)
- Hanauma Bay Nature Preserve, Honolulu, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (closed due to construction, related to storm impact awareness)
- Blanche Pope Elementary School, Waimanalo, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Castle High School, Kaneohe, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Kahuku Elementary School, Kahuku, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Kapolei High School, Kapolei, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Mililani High School, Mililani, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Moanalua High School, Honolulu, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Roosevelt High School, Honolulu, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Nānākuli Elementary School, Nānākuli, Honolulu County, Hawaii, United States (hurricane refuge)
- Kauai, Kauai County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning, heavy rain, flooding)
- Niihau, Kauai County, Hawaii, United States (tropical storm warning)